Capital Southwest Stock Performance

CSWC Stock  USD 23.56  0.12  0.51%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Capital Southwest holds a performance score of 18. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0724, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Capital Southwest's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Capital Southwest is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Capital Southwest's sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Capital Southwest's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Capital Southwest are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Capital Southwest exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.51)
Five Day Return
1.69
Year To Date Return
5.16
Ten Year Return
62.33
All Time Return
29.6 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1365
Payout Ratio
0.4904
Last Split Factor
2724:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
3.2
Dividend Date
2026-03-31
 
Capital Southwest dividend paid on 28th of November 2025
11/28/2025
 
Capital Southwest dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
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Begin Period Cash Flow32.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.7 M

Capital Southwest Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,985  in Capital Southwest on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  371.00  from holding Capital Southwest or generate 18.69% return on investment over 90 days. Capital Southwest is currently generating 0.2839% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.2041% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than Capital, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Capital Southwest is expected to generate 1.62 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.62 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Capital Southwest Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 23.56 90 days 23.56 
nearly 4.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Southwest to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.01 (This Capital Southwest probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Capital Southwest has a beta of 0.0724 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capital Southwest average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capital Southwest will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capital Southwest has an alpha of 0.2356, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Capital Southwest Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital Southwest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Southwest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital Southwest's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.3623.5624.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2025.2726.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.8823.0824.28
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.7623.9226.55
Details

Capital Southwest Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Southwest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Southwest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Southwest, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Southwest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Capital Southwest Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Southwest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Southwest can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Southwest currently holds about 18.77 M in cash with (217.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.68.
Capital Southwest has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 31st of December 2025 Capital Southwest paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Southwest Q4 Earnings Snapshot

Capital Southwest Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital Southwest's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Southwest's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments43.2 M

Capital Southwest Fundamentals Growth

Capital Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Capital Southwest, and Capital Southwest fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Capital Stock performance.

About Capital Southwest Performance

By analyzing Capital Southwest's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Capital Southwest's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Capital Southwest has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Capital Southwest has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.06 

Things to note about Capital Southwest performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Southwest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Southwest help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Southwest currently holds about 18.77 M in cash with (217.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.68.
Capital Southwest has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 31st of December 2025 Capital Southwest paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Southwest Q4 Earnings Snapshot
Evaluating Capital Southwest's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Capital Southwest's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Capital Southwest's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Capital Southwest's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Capital Southwest's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Capital Southwest's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Capital Southwest's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Capital Southwest's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Capital Southwest's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Capital Southwest's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Capital Southwest's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Capital Southwest's price analysis, check to measure Capital Southwest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital Southwest is operating at the current time. Most of Capital Southwest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital Southwest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital Southwest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital Southwest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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